2026-09-24T02:03:55Z https://www.ideals.illinois.edu/oai-pmh

oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/24338 2023-07-10 col_2142_5131 col_2142_14846 com_2142_5130 com_2142_14845 com_2142_9614

Efficient market hypothesis sport betting point spread rest National Football League (NFL) bye week The efficient market hypothesis and gambling on National Football League games Tainsky, Scott Sung, Yoon Tae 2011-05-25T14:58:05Z 2011-05-25T14:58:05Z 2011-05-25T14:58:05Z 2011-05 The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for sport betting states that all publicly available information should be mirrored in betting lines, so there should be no bias of betting outcomes. Because of several similarities to financial markets, the sport betting market is thought of as a fair market. This investigation tests the EMH in the National Football League betting market from the 2002 to 2009 seasons. This study also examines whether there is a bias after a bye week in terms of the EMH. For this investigation we utilized a significance test for proportion and logistic regression. The findings suggest that, among other biases, favorites and favorites on the road won statistically more bets than their opponents after their bye week. This study provides relevant evidence of inefficiencies within NFL betting. Item withdrawn by Mark Zulauf (zulauf@illinois.edu) on 2011-04-28T21:34:27Z Item was in collections: University of Illinois Theses & Dissertations (ID: 1) No. of bitstreams: 1 Sung_Yoon Tae.pdf: 1242245 bytes, checksum: 621b028b0a4044d4e5bee3be30d20940 (MD5) Made available in DSpace on 2011-05-25T14:58:05Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 Sung_YoonTae.pdf: 1242547 bytes, checksum: 8e6f0ff173182b5af283fd96f63d8ead (MD5) license.txt: 4057 bytes, checksum: c12b755ee63de8ee53c740f76d23f703 (MD5) http://hdl.handle.net/2142/24338 en © 2011 Yoon Tae Sung M.S. Recreation, Sport and Tourism 1714 Recreation, Sport, and Tourism 4043 University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Thesis MS: Rec, Sport,Tourism -UIUC 10KS4043MS